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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (45) 733

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (45) 733

October 27 - November 2, 2008

Main tendencies of political week

Announcement of the exact date of Dmitry Medvedev’s address to the nation made mass media speculate on its content. The document is likely to stir up discussions about the ways of development of Russia’s political system even if it does not contain such a section. State authorities are likely to pursue the course of depoliticizing political development, which means refusal to follow abstract theoretical schemes in the liberalization-authoritarianism dichotomy. Considering the changing agenda and dilapidation of old ideological schemes, the course will be intended to make political structures pragmatic. It is likely to be aimed at ensuring moderate mobilization with the system building characteristics not resembling similar experience of the Stalin period.

Another urgent problem that came to the surface again last week is the mechanism of forming the staff reserve. Renewal of governing elite is becoming a more and more pressing issue considering growing problems in the economy. Deputy PM Sergey Sobyanin at his meeting with the president briefly described the plan of forming the staff pool focusing on the transparency of selection mechanisms. However, it is not yet clear what positions will be replaced with the reserve representatives – top or second and third tier or technical. There is also a fundamental hindrance on the way to this reform – unwillingness of the bureaucracy to get renewed. At the same time the authorities in the near future will have to consider the bureaucracy’s opinion who are becoming their almost the only support.

Inside-elite struggle on the eve of the address again became secondary. There were attempts to fill in the informational vacuum in the mass media by predictions of upcoming social catastrophes that allegedly should follow mass layoff. So far such catastrophes exist in the imagination of journalists and experts: dismissed financial officers find jobs in other sectors while in regions the real sector enterprises resort to the practice of paid leaves managing it without layoff.

Major events October 27 - November 2, 2008

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Vladimir Putin declares about the necessity to firmly stop attempts to spent resources allocated by the state to support the real sector of Russia’s economy, on buying foreign currency and exporting it

Vladimir Putin

 

Leading elite groups will have to moderate their financial appetite

Transportation minister Igor Levitin is elected chairman of Aeroflot board of directors

Valery Okulov

 

It is quite possible that later Levitin will push aside Okulov’s men from management

Prosecutor General Yury Chaika delivers a speech at the State Duma

Yury Chaika

 

Prosecutor General will continue attempts to remain in the shade on the eve of reshuffle in law enforcement agencies

The Supreme Court finds prolongation of arrest of former federal drug control service officer Alexander Bulbov illegal

 

 

Alexander Bulbov is likely to remain in custody

First meeting of the committee for coordinating activities of ecological organizations is held

Oleg Mitvol

Vladimir Kirillov

Rosprirodnadzor’s public council will have to take into consideration the new organization

Federal anti-monopoly service head Igor Artemyev declares about the possibility to file some anti-monopoly cases against oil companies

Igor Artemyev

 

These statements are rather demonstrational and will not result in filing cases against oil companies

State Duma passes amendments to the law on Public Chamber in the first reading

Public Chamber

 

The PC’s role in examination of bills will increase

Plans of reforms in the General Staff are posted

 

Anatoly Serdyukov

It is possible that some opposition public organizations will support generals’ Fronde

Information is posted about resistance of some activists of SPS regional branches to the process of joining a new liberal project

 

 

Opposition will be overcome

SPS’s political council intents to establish a public movement of the same name

 

 

This maneuver is aimed at neutralizing attempts of radical opposition to use the SPS brand name in their interests

Volume: 16 pages

 

 


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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