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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (73) 761

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (73) 761

May 11 - 17, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

An informational campaign aimed at drawing the preliminary results of the ruling tandem’s first anniversary as well as identifying Dmitry Medvedev’s course finished last week. The campaign started in early March (the first anniversary of Dmitry Medvedev’s election) and culminated in the first half of May. Discussions on this topic were transforming noticeably; in particular, by May almost all experts had arrived at a conclusion that the tandem system had proved its viability and it could exist until the next presidential elections at least. Vladimir Putin indirectly pointed to this in his interview with the Japanese mass media. Moreover, the text of the Strategy of National Security also testifies to this; quite a compromising document was approved by Dmitry Medvedev.

Simultaneously, there were some activities on the party field. The president met with communist leaders, but the rhetoric at their meeting was rather complimentary on both sides. However, attempts to portray the results of the meeting as the head of state’s approval of all or almost all initiatives of the leftists are groundless. In particular, CPRF’s main proposal, which they had been promoting for a long time, i.e. the necessity to rely on communists under the conditions of the crisis like it was in 1998, was ignored. However, unlike the 1998 developments, there are no objective preconditions for that currently.

Meanwhile, confrontation between leaders of the Pravoe Delo party sharpened, which was caused by the party’s ‘birth trauma’. Relations between its co-chairs, Boris Titov and Leonid Gozman, became heated. They often have absolutely different opinions on a number of issues. Such a situation is very dangerous for the party structure. If the party loses support of state authorities, this will lead to its inevitable collapse. At the same time, if SPS representatives leave the party, the electoral potential of this political force will substantially decrease, which also makes its prospects rather doubtful.

Major events May 11, 2009 - May 17, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev meets with communist party leaders

Dmitry Medvedev

 

Communists’ initiatives supported by the president will be drafted as bills together with UR and their initial idea will be noticeably corrected

Dmitry Medvedev signs the bill on assigning additional authority to Rostekhnologii and its management into law

Sergey Chemezov

 

The state corporation will continue receiving preferences from the state

Dmitry Medvedev sings Strategy of National Security

Nikolay Patrushev

 

Discussion about the document’s strong and weak points won’t last long

Business Russia head Boris Titov declares about intention to demand resignation of deputy PM Alexey Kudrin

Boris Titov

CPRF

Titov will keeps making statements on behalf of BR and Pravoe Delo aimed at demonstrating moderate opposition to state authorities

Information is posted about creation of the presidential administration’s working group headed by PA first deputy chief Vladislav Surkov for modernization of legislation on NGOs

 

 

Liberalization of the legislation will be technical, not strategic

Andrey Slepnev is appointed deputy economy minister

Arkady Dvorkovich, Elvira Nabiullina

 

Andrey Slepnev will become one of Elvira Nabiullina’s major deputies

Rumors about soon reorganization and dissolution of the communications ministry

 

 

These rumors won’t be confirmed

MVD internal security service head Yury Draguntsov declares about proposals aimed at improving discipline

 

 

These are general measures and their implementation is impossible without total personnel renewal in the ministry

Creation of a conciliatory commission between the two houses of Russia’s parliament to work on the bill on introduction of the plea bargain institution

 

 

State authorities will keep toughly suppressing even minor evidence of public confrontation of state institutions

Novaya Gazeta publishes information about alleged ties of Vladimir Putin and Bank Rossiya through the Tambov organized crime group

 

 

Attempts to discredit Vladimir Putin will continue also spreading onto Dmitry Medvedev

Volume: 13 pages


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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