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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (78) 766

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (78) 766

June 15 - 21, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

Due to objective reasons the main content of the informational background last week was the situation around the tandem and identification of main vectors of the next political season. Although Dmitry Medvedev clearly identified his position in an interview with China’s TV (he directly said he believed that retaining succession was the main achievement of his first year in office), attempts to substantiate the necessity of the “thaw” did not stop.

Some adherents of this scenario tried to argue that otherwise Russia would face a revolution. Imprisoned ex-oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky had a ‘special’ position having published a program article. He proposed a “knight’s move” to Dmitry Medvedev, i.e. to conduct a judicial reform as, according to the author, it was impossible to implement liberalization without it. Mikhail Khodorkovsky in detail described all aspects of the proposed reform willingly or unwillingly limiting the space for maneuvers for Dmitry Medvedev, who treats the judicial reform as one of his mega projects.

Another group of liberalization adherents hopes for the second wave of the crisis, which will allegedly be much stronger than the first phase. The recently posted statistical data gives reasons for the mass media to ignite pessimism around it, if not to indicate a noticeable worsening of the economic situation.

At the same time, state authorities demonstrate their intention to make the anti-crisis struggle systemic. It is testified to by the approval of a new anti-crisis program by the PM as well as establishment of a government working group for mono-towns. Activities of governors, who finally heard signals of the tandem and joined anti-crisis regulation in their regions, also testify to manageability of the situation in the country.

Major events June 15, 2009 - June 21, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev’s interview with China’s central TV

Dmitry Medvedev

President will no longer specially highlight continuity of his policy

Dmitry Medvedev submits a bill on NGOs to the State Duma

Dmitry Medvedev

The amendments will be approved in the original but not necessarily soon

Dmitry Medvedev meets with representatives of the presidential council for civil society development

 

 

Meetings will become regular; participants will preliminary discuss bills on NGOs

Meeting of the commission for modernization and innovative development of economy

Dmitry Medvedev

 

President will highlight technological and economic, no political, aspects of modernization

Mikhail Khodorkovsky’s article in Kommersant Vlast

 

 

Liberals will start promoting post-reform Russia of the second half of the 19th century as a historical ideal, not the “dashing 1990s”

Vladimir Putin approves a new anti-crisis plan

Vladimir Putin

 

This plan will soon be corrected

A working group for mono-towns is established in the Cabinet

Vladimir Putin

Viktor Basargin

Any sharpening of the situation in mono-towns will cause criticism of the regional development ministry

Vladimir Putin commissions the government to draft proposals on establishing a single body for managing subsoil resources

Vladimir Putin, Igor Sechin

 

 

Any attempt to sabotage implementation of this order will just accelerate the process of the new entity’s formation

Vladislav Surkov meets with representatives of youth wings of parliamentary parties

 

 

Meetings and discussions between young politicians will become regular; promising leaders will be identified at them

Boris Korol transferred from the post of transportation deputy minister to the post of Rosavia general director

Sergey Chemezov

Igor Levitin

In his new capacity Korol will successfully oppose his former boss and Aeroflot directors’ board chair Igor Levitin

Volume: 12 pages

 


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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