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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (28) 769

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (28) 769

July 06 - 12, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

As expected, the main domestic policy event last week was connected with a foreign policy event – US president Barack Obama’s visit to Russia and media interpretations around it. There was an additional element of importance in this visit as it took place at the end of a political season and the beginning of a summer season; this is the time when authors of political interpretations have a possibility to fix their positions until the late August.

Overrated expectations from the US president’s visit by the radical part of Russian liberals did not come true. Unlike his predecessors, Barack Obama preferred to refrain from a lecturing manner and his speeches were in general either neutral or complimentary towards Russian authorities. Moreover, the American leader directly declared that the USA and Russia should not preach each other but should cooperate. The most conspicuous evidence of his words was the establishment of a US-Russian working group for cooperation and civil society development co-chaired by an ‘indicative’ functionary from the Russian side – first deputy head of the presidential administration, Vladislav Surkov. The significance of this appointment was confirmed by a letter signed by some Russian human rights activists asking to replace Surkov with someone else. Having agreed to the creation of such a body and a candidature of the Russian co-chair, the US side in fact agreed to the necessity of closer cooperation with Russian authorities in building the civil society.

At the same time the ‘benevolent’ mood of the US side should not be overestimated. In particular, during Barack Obama’s visit attempts to test the tandem’s rigidity continued. In contrast to their previous stage, this time the attempts were made by formally independent players, e.g. journalists, rather than American officials.

Despite the beginning of the summer lull, regional authorities became active; following a number of signals by the tandem members they finally started neutralizing social consequences of the crisis. In particular, in the Altai Region police officers prevented an attempt to block a federal highway by protesting workers. There is also a visible desire of some regional authorities, who previously were criticized, to act in a preventive manner not using force. For instance, there is information that in the Primorsky Region a group of law enforcement officers and civilians was formed to monitor the Internet and prevent attempts to organize mass protest actions.

Major events July 06, 2009 - July 12, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin meet with Barack Obama

 

The USA will keep communicating with both members of the tandem

Barack Obama meets with oppositionists

Solidarnost, Vladimir Ryzhkov

LDPR

The non-systemic opposition will have to partially revise its radical positions

Barack Obama meets with representatives of Russian and US NGOs

 

The US administration will minimize a dialogue with Russian NGOs outside official channels

Dmitry Medvedev says he perceived the Khodorkovsky case only from the legal point of view

 

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

The statement will play into the prosecution’s hands

Vladimir Putin visits the Night Wolves motorcycle club

Vladimir Putin

 

Authorities will keep looking for additional sources of legitimacy among informal leaders of the public opinion

Mikhail Khodorkovsky’s interview with L’Espresso

 

 

The ex-mogul’s statements in the foreign press will be appearing quite often until the verdict on the new case is pronounced

Dmitry Medvedev nominates Sergey Mavrin as deputy chair of the Constitutional Court

Dmitry Medvedev

 

Mavrin may replace Valery Zorkin in 2012

ROC Patriarch Kirill meets with the UR leadership

UR

 

This meeting is a PR move and it won’t lead to strengthening of the ROC’s role in the law-making process

ROC representatives say they have worked out a set of proposals to the 2020 Strategy

Russian Orthodox Church

 

Authorities are likely to provide some bonuses to ROC in response

Bill on prolonging prosecutors’ maximal tenure of employment by 5 years is submitted to the State Duma

Yury Chaika

 

 

The bill is highly likely to be passed

Volume: 12 pages

 

 


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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