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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (29) 770

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (29) 770

July 13 - 19, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

Last week the head of state sent at least two signals to different groups of the population. The first signal was to correct Dmitry Medvedev’s liberal image that had been overweighting over the previous two weeks. To balance this, the president visited South Ossetia and Novorossiysk where he acted as Supreme Commander-in-Chief. Besides, this was during last year’s war against Georgia when Medvedev’s reputation of the decisive and sovereign head of state was formed. A video conference in the president’s reception office, which signified promotion of a new feedback format, was aimed at more liberal and technologically advanced strata of the population. In addition to image purposes, the head of state also maintained an inter-confessional balance. He met with leaders of Russian Muslims to smooth over the discontent of some traditional religions practiced in Russia that were unhappy with the Russian Orthodox Church claiming an exclusive role.

Meanwhile, signals sent by the tandem did not go unnoticed on a regional level where officials were fighting consequences of the crisis more actively. In fact one should point out that the bureaucracy gradually started replacing reactive measures with preventive ones in fighting the crisis’ social consequences. In particular, according to interior minister Rashid Nurgaliyev, a situational center as well as special groups in all regions has been established in his ministry to monitor public sentiments. Previously there was information about creation of a group of law enforcement officers and civilians in the Primorsky Region to monitor the Internet and prevent attempts to organize mass protest actions.

Last week the outlooks of the Pravoe Delo party at the Moscow City Duma election remained unclear; this election is practically a pass for the party to federal politics. An aggravating conflict in the leadership questions the party’s ability to implement any coordinated strategy to secure victory. If the new rightists do not introduce the one-man command, they are likely to face a split and full marginalization.

Major events July 13, 2009 - July 19, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev’s video conference with citizens

Dmitry Medvedev

Functionaries will have to gradually start using more technically advanced means to communicate with the population

Dmitry Medvedev’s visits to South Ossetia and Novorossiysk; a meeting on the results of military exercises

Dmitry Medvedev

 

Russia’s president will periodically position himself as “patron of the army”

State Council’s meeting devoted to the youth policy

 

 

The president will keep supporting youth movements that will fit the current agenda

Dmitry Medvedev says main arrangements of military reforms will be completed by December 1, 2009

Anatoly Serdyukov

 

The most painful reforms will be somewhat frozen

Interior minister Rashid Nurgaliyev says that operative groups have been formed in his ministry to monitor public sentiments

Rashid Nurgaliyev

 

State authorities will be gradually staking on preventive, not reactive, measures to fight social consequences of the crisis

Audit Chamber head Sergey Stepashin says finance minister Alexey Kudrin should not define economic policy

 

 

This statement practically won’t influence Kudrin’s inner-elite position

Konstantin Totsky is appointed deputy head of Rosprirodnadzor

Vladimir Kirillov

 

Kirillov will continue reinforcing the service with his cadres

President signs the bill on creation of Rosavtodor state corporation into law

Sergey Ivanov, Igor Levitin

 

During the crisis the state corporation will function sluggishly

A general meeting of the Moscow branch of the Pravoe Delo party

Andrey Bogdanov

Leonid Gozman, Boris Titov

Without introduction of the one-man command the party will split

Federation Council speaker Sergey Mironov says the state should ensure normal conditions of life of the youth

Sergey Mironov

 

Mironov will keep trying to adjust to the current agenda

Volume: 13 pages

 

 

 


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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