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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (39) 780

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (39) 780

September 21 - 27, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

Discussion of Dmitry Medvedev’s initiatives promulgated in his policy speeches was the major domestic policy event last week. Adherents of the anti-Putin coalition became more active interpreting the president’s words as “latent challenge to Putin’s system” and the power vertical in particular. According to their logic, the political system is still functioning but its economic basis is undermined already; this is why it is necessary to launch political liberalization (a new perestroika). However, at the same time voices of the disappointed are becoming more distinct – despite the president’s alleged calls, there will be no liberalization, as there is no demand for it neither in the Establishment nor in the public.

Inner elite conflicts sharpened in early autumn, which was indirectly reflected in the mass media. Thus, after a short break echoes of inner elite conflicts started penetrating into the media field. However, there were no direct clashes like between the Prosecutor General’s Office and the Investigation Committee in 2007-2008.

Meanwhile, informational pressure on the tandem rose noticeably. Its critics became more convinced that this would be quite a capable body until 2012. Thus, it can be split only during the presidential elections. Liberal mass media sources started promoting Igor Yurgens’s thesis, who says that in 2012 there should be no single candidate but there should be open and transparent competition between Putin and Medvedev, or in other words – an open conflict between the tandem representatives.

Finally, last week the composition of the “presidential third” of the Public Chamber was announced. It showed that Dmitry Medvedev had confirmed the course of “development through succession”. On one side, the composition of the Chamber was substantially refreshed, although some prominent figures were reappointed. On the other side, representatives of marginal groups, e.g. the non-systemic opposition, were not included into it. At the same time, the Public Chamber still has members who have become symbols of an informal pact on cooperation between the moderate part of the community of human rights activists and state authorities – Alla Gerber and Alexander Brod.

Major events September 21, 2009 - September 27, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev’s interview with CNN

Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Putin

 

President will keep highlighting succession of his policy

President appoints his nominees to Public Chamber

Dmitry Medvedev, Yevgeny Velikhov

 

New composition of the Public Chamber will be more functional

Dmitry Medvedev signs decrees regulating the procedure of checking information about incomes of state functionaries and state corporation managers

   

This measure will not bring quick results

Dmitry Medvedev says Russia may ask Switzerland to provide data about bank deposits of Russian taxpayers

Dmitry Medvedev

 

Such information will enable Dmitry Medvedev to have serious levers of influencing the bureaucracy

Publication of information about soon reshuffle in the interior ministry

 

Alexey Anichin, Valery Kozhokar

Anichin may be dismissed but Kozhokar’s chances to succeed him have decreased noticeably

Discrediting information about Airborne Troops commander Vladimir Shamanov is posted

Anatoly Serdyukov

Vladimir Shamanov

Shamanov’s chances to replace Serdyukov have decreased noticeably

Discrediting information about deputy economy minister Stanislav Voskresensky is posted

Elvira Nabiullina

Stanislav Voskresensky

Voskresensky’s position will somewhat weaken

UR’s commission approves theses for the party’s autumn congress

   

The congress’s main event will be Putin’s speech, not promulgation of UR’s program

Pravoe Delo co-chair Boris Titov and his companions in PD’s political council want to convene an extraordinary congress to change the management structure

Boris Titov

Leonid Gozman, Georgy Bovt

Titov’s proposal will lead to a conflict; Pravoe Delo will be on the verge of collapse

Nashi movement says it intends to hold the Russian March on November 4

Nashi

DPNI

In case of success, informational resonance from nationalists’ initiatives will noticeably drop

Volume: 14 pages


If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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