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State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2017, prospects for 2018

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2017, prospects for 2018

NESF traditionally concludes the year with its final report that sums up main events and tendencies of the year.

The report analyzes preliminary production results, main state decisions concerning the sector, battles for property, changes in export policies, and, certainly, medium-term forecasts of development of the sector.

In the report you will find answers to the following questions:

  • OPEC+ deal, its impact on the sector

    • How has oil production by Russian companies changed?
    • Strategies of VIOCs; the most affected producers
  • Financial results of the year for oil and gas companies

    • Revenues and corporate debts
  • New sanctions; their impact on Russia’s oil and gas sector

    • Their influence on access to credits and technologies
    • Offshore and tight oil projects
    • Nonresidents in Russia’s FES
  • Tax policies in 2017

    • Another wasted year?
    • Champions and losers in battles for tax preferences
  • Russian exports, new transportation projects

    • Changes in the country structure of oil exports
    • New gas records
  • Struggle for property

    • New victims of Rosneft
    • Chinese entities in the Russian oil and gas sector
  • Expectations from 2018

    • Withdrawal from the OPEC+ deal
    • A new Cabinet structure, the fate of the excess profit tax, battles for bypassing gas pipelines, LNG vs. piped gas

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. OPEC + deal and production strategies of oil and gas companies 5
Chapter 2. Russian oil and gas companies amid new and old sanctions 20
Chapter 3. Export flows 33
Chapter 4. New wave of privatization: Rosneft vs. everybody 41
Prospects of developments in 2018 47
Date of release: January 18, 2018

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

New OPEC+ Deal and Future of Oil Business in Russia
Gazprom on the background of external and internal challenges
Regulation of Oil and Gas Sector in 2019 and Prospects for 2020
Fiscal Policy on Oil and Gas Sector: Revised as Often as Wikipedia
The tax system in the oil and gas sector continues to undergo radical changes. The beginning of 2019 saw the introduction of a new tax regime: additional income tax. That experiment was supposed to start migration of the oil industry to an innovative principle of taxation: on profit, not revenue. It seemed that a new main road was found. In the same year, however, the Finance Ministry launched an overt offensive against AIT. The fear of loss of government revenue now is more powerful than the threat of causing oil production to collapse in the medium term because of a tax system that does not stimulate investment. The Finance Ministry would strongly prefer to speed up the tax manoeuvre completion that earns the state budget additional money. Oil and gas companies respond to this with individual lobbying, attempting to wangle special treatment for their projects.
Ukrainian Gas Hub: Climax at Hand
The “zero hour” comes in less than a month: the contracts for gas transit through Ukraine and for supplying Russian gas to the country terminate at 10 am on 1 January. Meanwhile, Gazprom and Naftogaz are very far from looking for a mutually acceptable solution. The entire European gas business is watching intently the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Everyone is waiting for a new “gas war”: the January 2009 events proved to be a serious test both to European consumers and to Gazprom as a supplier. Is there still a chance of agreement? If there is not, will Gazprom cope with its obligations to deliver gas to Europe? Is Russia bluffing as it assures that the new infrastructure and gas in underground storage facilities will enable it to get by without Ukrainian transit even as soon as this winter? What will happen to Ukraine itself at the beginning of 2020?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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