Developments in the Middle East attract great attention. Many experts believe this region plays a major role in formation of oil prices and the future of the world market of hydrocarbons.
The situation in the region is indeed developing very quickly.
A conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran has put an end to plans of creating OPEC-2. Saudi Arabia is changing its strategy, while Iran is increasing its presence on the world oil market; the latter also intends to become a serious natural gas exporter being ready to join the South Corridor project and intriguing against Russia.
Meanwhile, the war in Syria may intensify at any moment affecting Iran’s production potential and Turkey’s transit possibilities.
These events directly influence the supply of hydrocarbons on the market. It means all oil producers are concerned about them, at least because they need to understand the level of oil prices in the future.
The report elaborates on the following issues:
Contents of the report:
INTRODUCTION | 3 |
IRAN: OIL AND GAS KLONDIKE OR MIDDLE EASTEN PANAMA? | 4 |
Estimated oil and natural gas reserves in Iran | 4 |
Oil production and consumption in Iran | 8 |
Iranian oil export prospects | 12 |
Iranian Gas Balance. Export Outlook | 21 |
Assessment of prospects of return of oil majors to Iran | 24 |
IRAQ: POST-WAR RESTORATION, STATUS OF NONRESIDENTS, NEW DIFFICULTIES | 27 |
Brief history of political conflicts over Iraqi oil | 28 |
Conditions of work of nonresidents in post-war Iraq | 30 |
Results of first rounds of distribution of deposits | 32 |
Situation in Iraqi Kurdistan | 44 |
ISLAMIC STATE AS PRODUCT OF IRAN-IRAQ CONFLICT. IS INFLUENCE ON THE OIL INDUSTRY | 46 |
SAUDI ARABIA: KEY PRODUCER IN THE REGION | 52 |
Political layout in Saudi Arabia | 52 |
Situation in the production segment, economy, prospects of Saudi Aramco privatization | 55 |
Ethnic contradictions, ethnic war in Yemen. Oil and gas industry in Yemen | 60 |
Situation at main straits in the region | 64 |
THREE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE REGION’S FUTURE FROM THE POINT OF VIEW OF INTERESTS OF RUSSIA’S ENERGY SECTOR | 67 |
APPROXIMATE CONVERSION FACTORS | 71 |
ACRONYMS | 72 |
Date of release: | July 21, 2016 |