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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (31-33) 772 - 774

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (31-33) 772 - 774

July 27 - August 16, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

Over the past three weeks the old political season has gradually transformed into a new one. In particular, state authorities represented by Dmitry Medvedev started forming the new season’s agenda and they made it in an updated format. Meetings of the head of state with representatives of parties and the civil society that have taken place over the past few months are likely to become constant and the future agenda will be tested at them. This provides the head of state with another institutionalized channel of feedback from the population, while his partners in the dialogue will be able to inform the country’s highest instance on issues they consider urgent.

Strangely enough but the 10th anniversary of Vladimir Putin’s appointment as PM practically did not influence formation of the agenda last week. Although there were attempts to sum up the results of “Putin’s decade”, on the whole they were not in the center of the informational field but rather on its periphery. This is likely to be attributed to two reasons. Firstly, Vladimir Putin has not left big politics, so it is early to draw up the results of his activities. Secondly, the intermediate results of his presidency were summed up about a year ago and there was no reason to reiterate them.

Another factor influencing the agenda is the upcoming election to the Moscow City Duma. It will become indicative from the point of view of changing rules of the game on the party field amid the crisis and this is exactly why it has a federal importance. Judging by initial signs, the election campaign will be inertial but with some changes regarding the increase in the level of competitiveness of the election process.

The level of inner-elite struggle remained high but it was getting more and more latent. In particular, the bill on disciplinary court submitted by the president to the State Duma is to redistribute authority in the sphere of control over judges from the Supreme Court to the Supreme Arbitration Court. The latter is chaired by Dmitry Medvedev’s team member Anton Ivanov. Consequences of the president’s order to check activities of state corporations are unknown yet. There unlikely to be serious redistribution of assets following the checks but some players may lose part of control over property.

Major events July 27 - August 16, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev meets with heads of parliamentary parties

 

 

President will keep maintaining a dialogue with different political institutions when forming the agenda

Dmitry Medvedev chairs a meeting devoted to measures aimed at decreasing alcohol consumption

Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Putin

 

President will stake on developing social projects of his predecessor

Dmitry Medvedev orders checks of activities of state corporations

Yury Chaika, Konstantin Chuichenko

 

After the checks some part of property may be confiscated from state corporations

In Sochi Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin together watch a friendly between the Russian and Argentinean national football teams

Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Putin

 

Tandem will keep demonstrating unity especially at the height of rumors about splits in it

Dmitry Medvedev meets with representatives of student construction teams in Sochi

 

 

State authorities will try to mobilize the youth to implement large-scale infrastructure projects

Dmitry Medvedev submits a bill on disciplinary court to the State Duma

Anton Ivanov

Vyacheslav Lebedev

The bill will be passed without changes

Rostekhnologii head Sergey Chemezov is excluded from the presidential commission for modernization of economy

 

Sergey Chemezov

It is quite possible that in the near future  Rostekhnologii will lose some part of the assets it controls

Andrey Shvaichenko replaces Nikolay Solovtsov as chief of the strategic missile forces

Anatoly Serdyukov

 

Solovtsov may not get any significant post as compensation

Federal prison service head Yury Kalinin retires; he becomes deputy justice minister

Alexander Konovalov

Yury Kalinin

The penalty execution system will be reformed

Yury Lyubimov is appointed deputy justice minister

Alexander Konovalov

 

Justice minister will keep rejuvenating the ministry’s high-ranking cadres

Volume: 14 pages


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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