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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (10) 698

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (10) 698

February 25 - March 2, 2008

Elite on a knife edge

Last week saw major political players waiting for the upshot – in general, the elite do not know for sure, how power configuration and government staff will change. As expected, the final stage of the election campaign did not make amendments to the main political trends. The reason for this are both tactical factors that emerged back in fall 2007 and strategic prerequisites, particularly strong consensus between elite and voters. In the mean time, not only the winner Dmitry Medvedev did benefit from the election results. The other participants in the race also successfully achieved their goals.

Life in the government domain was sluggish too. The main players were making moves not to win but just to be formal or as a response to earlier moves of their rivals. Situation in the Ministry of Defense was no difference. Minister Anatoly Serdyukov found himself at risk. First, the suicide of a senior MD official, who was in charge of quartering, may be indirectly linked with a meeting he had a day earlier with the minister. Besides, the deceased was replaced with a Serdyukov’s protégé, a professional entrepreneur. Finally, the signs of generals’ consolidation are becoming more noticeable as they join hands trying to prevent the minister and his team from privatizing the most liquid assets of the Defense Ministry.

It is also noteworthy that low intensity of infighting is caused by another factor – decision of many officials ahead of government dissolution to move to safer positions. In particular, last week the Head of Especial Economic Zones Agency Mikhail Mishustin and Deputy Minister of Culture Pavel Pozhigailo decided to insulate themselves such way.

Major events Feb 25, 2008 - March 2, 2008

Event To whose benefit To whose disadvantage What to expect

Presidential election

Dmitry Medvedev

 

Government should be reshuffled within one week after official announcement of election results

Vladimir Putin addresses nation

Dmitry Medvedev

 

The main goal of the address was to encourage voters turnout and will not lead to additional changes

Meeting of the National Projects Council Presidium

Dmitry Medvedev

 

National projects will be transformed into state programs

Dmitry Medvedev says a multi-party system must be created in Russia

Gennady Zyuganov

Sergei Mironov

It is possible that the power’s plans to form a unified leftist party will be revised

The number of directorates and deputy heads of Financial Monitoring Service increased

Oleg Markov

 

RosFinMonitoring will remain submitted directly to prime minister or will be included into another service

The Other Russia refused permission to organize rallies in Moscow on March 3

 

Garry Kasparov, Eduard Limonov

Attempts of Kremlin-disloyal opposition leaders to hold unsanctioned rallies will not succeed

Minister of Culture proposes anti-pornography bill

Alexander Sokolov

 

This initiative will not help Sokolov keep minister chair in the next government

Deputy Minister of Culture Pavel Pozhigailo steps down

Pavel Pozhigailo

 

This supports the guess that Alexander Sokolov will not be in the next government

Administration of the Special Economic Zones Service is replaced

   

This measure is technical and will not result in a change of service’s affiliation with power clans

Investigation Committee has finished investigation into the Federal Fund of Compulsory Medical Insurance (FFOMS).

Alexander Bastrykin, Mikhail Zurabov

 

Sentences of the accused will be relatively soft

Leaders of the Democratic Party and Civil Force say rightists must unite

Andrei Bogdanov, Mikhail Barschevskiy

Grigory Yavlinski, Boris Nemtsov, Nikita Belykh

Ambitions of the pro-Kremlin rightist leaders may make the consolidation process complicated

Valume: 14 pages


If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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