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State management in the oil and gas sector: Last autumn of current political cycle

State management in the oil and gas sector: Last autumn of current political cycle

The main political intrigue of the upcoming election cycle would seem to be over. Vladimir Putin is set to return to the president’s office, while Dmitry Medvedev is to chair the Cabinet. But in reality, everything is just about to begin. Some scenarios of reformatting Russian state authorities are indeed ruled out. Yet, there are many unclear things, including the question of the oil and gas sector management. Changes in the system are unavoidable. There is temptation to fix the rules of the game for the next six years, which adds a special connotation to the upcoming transformation.

The new report is devoted to the present and the future. Authors attempt to analyze changes in the system of managing the oil and gas sector over the past 1.5 years. But the main thing is to understand what awaits the sector in spring 2012, when formal election procedures are completed and a new Cabinet and the president’s executive office are introduced to the country.

The report elaborates on the following issues:

  • Latest HR changes in respective ministries and agencies

    • Reasons and consequences
    • What clans have strengthened their influence and what groups are facing administrative problems
  • Latest projects

    • The most important initiatives promoted by clans in the last few months of operation of Putin’s current political system
    • Establishment of Rosgeologia
    • The fate of the law « On Oil »
  • Taxation procedures

    • Prior to Alexey Kudrin’s dismissal quite important decisions were made concerning, in particular, the 60-66 regime and new rates of the gas production tax
    • How will the sector profit from the retirement of its main opponent?
    • Successes and failures of clans in lobbying special taxation procedures
  • What to expect in May 2012?

    • The main question is what system of managing the oil and gas sector will be presented after Putin is inaugurated and Medvedev is appointed prime minister in May 2012
    • Main models from the point of view of relations in the presidential administration-government-companies triangle
    • Possible candidates for the role of supervisor of the fuel and energy sector in the government

The contents of the report::

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. Oil and Gas Sector, Vladimir Putin’s Comeback. Highest Level of Managing the Sector 5
Chapter 2. Ministries and Agencies 10
Chapter 3. Fiscal battles 34
Chapter 4. Main Changes in Core Agencies and Services 39
Chapter 5. Attempts of Antimonopoly Regulation of Fuel Market 42
Chapter 6. State Regulation in the Sphere of Ecology 46
Forecast of Developments: 2012 scenarios 50
Date of issue:: November 9th, 2011

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

New OPEC+ Deal and Future of Oil Business in Russia
Gazprom on the background of external and internal challenges
Regulation of Oil and Gas Sector in 2019 and Prospects for 2020
Fiscal Policy on Oil and Gas Sector: Revised as Often as Wikipedia
The tax system in the oil and gas sector continues to undergo radical changes. The beginning of 2019 saw the introduction of a new tax regime: additional income tax. That experiment was supposed to start migration of the oil industry to an innovative principle of taxation: on profit, not revenue. It seemed that a new main road was found. In the same year, however, the Finance Ministry launched an overt offensive against AIT. The fear of loss of government revenue now is more powerful than the threat of causing oil production to collapse in the medium term because of a tax system that does not stimulate investment. The Finance Ministry would strongly prefer to speed up the tax manoeuvre completion that earns the state budget additional money. Oil and gas companies respond to this with individual lobbying, attempting to wangle special treatment for their projects.
Ukrainian Gas Hub: Climax at Hand
The “zero hour” comes in less than a month: the contracts for gas transit through Ukraine and for supplying Russian gas to the country terminate at 10 am on 1 January. Meanwhile, Gazprom and Naftogaz are very far from looking for a mutually acceptable solution. The entire European gas business is watching intently the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Everyone is waiting for a new “gas war”: the January 2009 events proved to be a serious test both to European consumers and to Gazprom as a supplier. Is there still a chance of agreement? If there is not, will Gazprom cope with its obligations to deliver gas to Europe? Is Russia bluffing as it assures that the new infrastructure and gas in underground storage facilities will enable it to get by without Ukrainian transit even as soon as this winter? What will happen to Ukraine itself at the beginning of 2020?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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