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Sanctions against Russian Oil and Gas: Pressure Continued

Sanctions against Russian Oil and Gas: Pressure Continued

Almost five years ago Western countries imposed sanctions on the Russian oil and gas industry.

Its performance indicators seem to give evidence that the companies have adapted to the restrictive measures. But the sanctions were not expected to produce an instant effect.

The prohibitive measures may show their negative effect somewhat later. Then the restrictions on access to investment, technology, and markets may come to be felt.

The new report deals extensively with the following issues

  • Innovations in the sanctions legislation: new sanctions measures and announced plans

    • The US and EU in search of weak spots of the Russian oil and gas industry
  • Financial situation in Russian oil and gas corporations

    • Limiting access to loans is one of the most distressing measures.
    • How do companies survive? Situation with debts and investment. Have the hopes for the Chinese come true? Dynamics of Chinese loans and investment in Russian oil and gas.
    • Situation with debts and investment
    • Have the hopes for the Chinese come true?
    • Dynamics of Chinese loans and investment in Russian oil and gas
  • Export of Russian pipeline gas in the sanctions confrontation zone

    • Almost every week various options of sanctions against Nord Stream 2 and other new Russian gas pipelines are discussed in the US
    • How really dangerous are they?
  • LNG at gunpoint?
    • Liquefied gas production did not feature in the list of possible objects for restrictions earlier. However, the American legislators in 2019 for the first time remembered this part of the gas business. How serious are these plans and can LNG production rapidly developing in Russia suffer an actual technological blow?
  • A medium-term forecast of developments

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. What does next year have in store? Russia awaiting new sanctions 5
Chapter 2. Access to foreign investment: Is the devil really so black as he is painted? 18
Chapter 3. Russian LNG production and sanctions: new risks? 30
Chapter 4. Russian gas export in the sanctions confrontation zone 38
Medium-term forecast 45
Date of release: May 31, 2019

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

New OPEC+ Deal and Future of Oil Business in Russia
Gazprom on the background of external and internal challenges
Regulation of Oil and Gas Sector in 2019 and Prospects for 2020
Fiscal Policy on Oil and Gas Sector: Revised as Often as Wikipedia
The tax system in the oil and gas sector continues to undergo radical changes. The beginning of 2019 saw the introduction of a new tax regime: additional income tax. That experiment was supposed to start migration of the oil industry to an innovative principle of taxation: on profit, not revenue. It seemed that a new main road was found. In the same year, however, the Finance Ministry launched an overt offensive against AIT. The fear of loss of government revenue now is more powerful than the threat of causing oil production to collapse in the medium term because of a tax system that does not stimulate investment. The Finance Ministry would strongly prefer to speed up the tax manoeuvre completion that earns the state budget additional money. Oil and gas companies respond to this with individual lobbying, attempting to wangle special treatment for their projects.
Ukrainian Gas Hub: Climax at Hand
The “zero hour” comes in less than a month: the contracts for gas transit through Ukraine and for supplying Russian gas to the country terminate at 10 am on 1 January. Meanwhile, Gazprom and Naftogaz are very far from looking for a mutually acceptable solution. The entire European gas business is watching intently the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Everyone is waiting for a new “gas war”: the January 2009 events proved to be a serious test both to European consumers and to Gazprom as a supplier. Is there still a chance of agreement? If there is not, will Gazprom cope with its obligations to deliver gas to Europe? Is Russia bluffing as it assures that the new infrastructure and gas in underground storage facilities will enable it to get by without Ukrainian transit even as soon as this winter? What will happen to Ukraine itself at the beginning of 2020?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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