Non-residents in Russia: complexity of conflict, possibilities

On the background of the current political situation, one should not expect the sanction policy to cease and usual business partnerships with the West to resume. On the contrary, relations with the USA and the EU are getting worse, while a possibility of a new military conflict in Ukraine is growing. This situation raises questions about cooperation of Russian companies with non-residents and about the presence of Western companies on the Russian market.

What will the latter choose? Actually not everything is as simple as it looks like. There are options even in such a situation.

Non-residents may pursue the exit strategy or try to strengthen their positions on the Russian market by taking advantage of the situation to secure additional preferences from Russian state authorities. The latter are also facing a dilemma: to persuade Western majors to keep investing in Russia or to start luring Chinese and Indian companies positioning them as alternative to Western businesses and a new page in development of the Russian oil and gas sector.

Key topics of the report:

• The current situation around projects with participation of foreign companies in Russia

  • Implementation of oil and gas projects jointly with Western companies in Russia in the new geopolitical situation
  • Companies that have left Russia and companies that have remained here

• China as substitute

  • How does the strategy of replacing Western companies with Chinese ones work?
  • Why is China not rushing for Russia?

• Legal status of work of non-residents in Russia

  • Are concessions possible?
  • Will they motivate foreign companies?

• Cooperation with companies consuming Russian energy resources

  • Influence of the political situation on projects of delivery of Russian hydrocarbons to markets

• Russian fuel and energy companies on the world market

• Medium-term forecast of developments

Contents of the report: