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New government structure and FES: Reformatting the state system administrating the sector

New government structure and FES:  Reformatting the state system administrating the sector

Inauguration of Vladimir Putin this May was followed by reformatting of the Russian government and the system of executive power in general.

These changes seem to be cosmetic, as the PM and many ministers preserved their seats. However, HR novelties are quite significant, and they directly concern the oil and gas sector.

The reshuffle has not finished yet – the mop-up and structural changes still continue in some ministries. Yet, main players have already taken their seats, and it is possible to draw the first results of reformatting of the system administrating the oil and gas industry.

The report gives answers to the following questions:

  • Why has Dmitry Medvedev remained in charge of the Cabinet?

    • What is his new ‘contract’ with Vladimir Putin, and what sacrifices the new old PM had to make?
  • Why has Dmitry Kozak become a new supervisor of the fuel and energy sector?

    • What role will he play?
    • What powers he has received from Putin?
  • What does Anton Siluanov’s new status of the first deputy PM mean for the sector?

    • How has it changed the taxation discourse?
  • New HR and organizational decisions in the energy ministry after formation of the new Cabinet

    • What does the departure of deputy energy minister Kirill Molodtsov to the Russian presidential executive office mean?
    • Will he manage to restart the work of the presidential commission for FES strategic development and environmental security?
  • What is behind the appointment of Dmitry Kobylkin as minister of natural resources and environment?

    • What conclusions can be made following the first HR and structural decisions of the new minister?
  • How has the Arctic supervision system changed with Yury Trutnev becoming responsible for it, and with Yevgeny Ditrikh becoming transportation minister?

    • How can the latest personnel changes in the ministry be interpreted?
  • Companies that have won, and companies that have lost as a result of new appointments in the government

  • New lines of administrative contradictions in the new system managing the sector

    • For how long will the new Cabinet stay?

Contents of the report: 

Introduction 3
Main staff features of new government. Why Dmitry Medvedev? 6
Dmitry Kozak as new supervisor of the energy sector 11
Anton Siluanov as a key representative of the financial and macroeconomic bloc. The oil and gas sector and new fiscal pressure 13
Situation in the energy ministry: tactical win and strategic loss of Novak 18
Privatization of natural resources ministry 23
Change of supervisor of climate policy 32
Struggle for Arctic supervision and new transportation minister 34
New government in the context of Russia-West relations 38
Medium-term forecast 40
Annex 1. Structure of the energy ministry 42
Annex 2. Structure of the ministry of natural resources 43
Date of release: September 10, 2018


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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

New OPEC+ Deal and Future of Oil Business in Russia
Gazprom on the background of external and internal challenges
Regulation of Oil and Gas Sector in 2019 and Prospects for 2020
Fiscal Policy on Oil and Gas Sector: Revised as Often as Wikipedia
The tax system in the oil and gas sector continues to undergo radical changes. The beginning of 2019 saw the introduction of a new tax regime: additional income tax. That experiment was supposed to start migration of the oil industry to an innovative principle of taxation: on profit, not revenue. It seemed that a new main road was found. In the same year, however, the Finance Ministry launched an overt offensive against AIT. The fear of loss of government revenue now is more powerful than the threat of causing oil production to collapse in the medium term because of a tax system that does not stimulate investment. The Finance Ministry would strongly prefer to speed up the tax manoeuvre completion that earns the state budget additional money. Oil and gas companies respond to this with individual lobbying, attempting to wangle special treatment for their projects.
Ukrainian Gas Hub: Climax at Hand
The “zero hour” comes in less than a month: the contracts for gas transit through Ukraine and for supplying Russian gas to the country terminate at 10 am on 1 January. Meanwhile, Gazprom and Naftogaz are very far from looking for a mutually acceptable solution. The entire European gas business is watching intently the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Everyone is waiting for a new “gas war”: the January 2009 events proved to be a serious test both to European consumers and to Gazprom as a supplier. Is there still a chance of agreement? If there is not, will Gazprom cope with its obligations to deliver gas to Europe? Is Russia bluffing as it assures that the new infrastructure and gas in underground storage facilities will enable it to get by without Ukrainian transit even as soon as this winter? What will happen to Ukraine itself at the beginning of 2020?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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