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Main page > Products > The fuel and energy complex of Russia - Series of analytical reports > State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2014, prospects for 2015

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2014, prospects for 2015

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2014, prospects for 2015

Our traditional series of reports is concluded with the final review of main developments in the Russian oil and gas sector in 2014.

2014 year has not been a typical year for the sector. The oil and gas sector encountered several serious problems simultaneously.

World oil prices dropped sharply. Russia was subjected to tough pressure of western sanctions that naturally mostly affected the oil and gas sector – the flagship of the Russian economy. Besides, the general worsening of the budget situation made the government again resort to its favorite practice of increase in taxes on the FES.

So, what is the standing of the sector in this situation?

Key topics of the report:

Production results of the year
- The analysis of the situation around every major company
- Reasons for the oil industry having reached its peak
- Decrease in natural gas consumption as a result of problems with exports
- The situation around reserves
The influence of sanctions on the Russian oil and gas sector
- Restrictions on supplies of technologies to Russia; influence of this factor on the sector’s development
- Corporate debts
- Prospects of development of offshore fields and tight reserves in Western Siberia while western companies are banned to provide corresponding assistance to Russia
- Nonresidents in the Russian oil and gas sector
- Emergence of Chinese companies in the Russian upstream segment as the spirit of the times and Russia’s new foreign policy
- Their possible participation in privatization of Russian assets
Tax regulation
- Main novelties in 2014
- The struggle around the tax maneuver
- Excise policies
Export policies
- The accelerated turn towards Asia
- Breakthrough gas deals with China
- Serious advance in oil supplies to Asian markets; reserves for exports to Asia
- The problem of tariff formation and subsidies to the eastern direction
The situation on the market of oil products
- Problems on the domestic market
- Exports of oil products, changes in their structure
Prospects of developments

Contents of the report:

Introduction	3
Chapter 1. RUSSIAN FES UNDER NEW CONDITIONS. INFLUENCE OF SANCTIONS AND DECLINING OIL PRICES	5
Chapter 2. 2014 PRODUCTION RESULTS	17
Chapter 3. TAX REGULATIONS IN THE SECTOR	37
Chapter 4. TURN TOWARDS ASIA: FROM WORDS TO DEEDS	48
Chapter 5. FRAGILE BALANCE OF DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN MARKETS OF OIL PRODUCTS	57
MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENTS	64

Date of release:	January 26, 2015

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:

Special report:

Nord Stream 2 and Ukraine: Costs Should Decide

There has been much discussion about how Russia – Europe’s biggest gas supplier – can continue to supply gas to Europe over the coming decades in the most secure and cost efficient way. Gazprom and its European partners have decided that building two additional pipelines through the Baltic Sea (Nord Stream 2) is the best commercial solution to secure future gas supplies for the EU, where gas production continues to decline and demand is expected to grow.

Shale Revolution: Myths and Realities

The boom in shale gas production in the US and its wide-ranging influence on markets rocked the gas world. Liquefied gas deliveries were redirected, altering the already fragile balance of demand and supply in traditional markets for pipeline gas in Europe.

Liquefied Natural Gas Outlook: Expectations and Reality

World market has shown interest to liquefied gas. Russia has so far been aside of it. However, producers have announced several large LNG projects. The new study will help investigate this delicate subject and understand what is in store for LNG production and export in the nearest years.

Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2023, 2024 outlook

The year 2023 posed a serious challenge to the Russian oil and gas sector that was subjected to extremely tough sanctions that could have led to collapse in exports of crude oil and petroleum products. The oil industry and corresponding regulatory mechanisms were tested throughout the year. The state, being in dire need of financial resources, had to save the chicken that lays golden eggs. How well is it coping with this task?

Gazprom in the period of expulsion from the European market. Possible evolution of the Russian gas market amid impediments to exports

The year 2023 saw an even larger drop in Russian exports of pipeline gas to Europe. In the past two years, Gazprom failed to export some 120 bcm of natural gas, and these quantities are now locked up in Russia. Another difficult case concerns extension of the current gas transit contract with Ukraine, which expires at the end of 2024. Gazprom is already looking for new opportunities.

New Logistics of Russian Oil Business

When the G7 and the EU as of 5 December 2022 imposed an embargo on oil from Russia and the price cap mechanism that was later complemented with the same measures against petroleum products, Western analysts confidently predicted inevitable collapse in Russian exports by at least one-third. The new report explains in detail how the mechanism of Russian oil transport and sales works and whether Western companies remain in this business.

Russia’s New Energy Strategy: on Paper and in Fact

The Energy Strategy to 2050 was originally supposed to be approved before 15 September 2022, yet it was never adopted even as of November 2023. Moreover, not even a draft of the ES 2050 has been published yet. On the one hand, this vividly demonstrates the attitude to strategic documents on energy. It turns out that the industry on the whole copes with the unprecedented pressure of sanctions even without official strategies. On the other hand, Russian oil and gas has been facing really serious challenges that cannot be taken lightly. And immediate problems are a reflection of long-term threats too.

Outlook for Russian LNG Industry

European sanctions and Brussels’ policy of abandoning Russian energy resources plus the destroyed Baltic gas pipelines have shut in Russia a respectable volume of pipeline gas that cannot promptly be sent to alternative markets. This would seem a strong argument in favour of developing LNG production in Russia. The new NESF report must give the answer to the question about what part of the plans for dramatic increase in LNG production in Russia can be considered realistic.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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